Buffalo vs. Toledo

Buffalo and Toledo have 12 meetings on file, the first in 1970; the series is tied 6–⁠6 in the games on file. Over the last 10 meetings it’s Buffalo 6–⁠4, and Buffalo has won the last 2.

Buffalo wins
6
Toledo wins
6
Ties
0
Earliest on file
1970
Longest streak
3 Toledo
Current streak
2 Buffalo
Last 10 meetings
Buffalo 6–⁠4
Most recent
2026

The series at a glance

Every meeting by decade, colored by the winner
’0’1’2’3’4’5’6’7’8’9W–L
1970s0–⁠1
2000s1–⁠2
2010s2–⁠2
2020s3–⁠1
Average margin
15.3 points; 2 decided by one score (8 or fewer)
At Buffalo
4–⁠2 Buffalo’s record at home
At Toledo
4–⁠2 Toledo’s record at home

Every meeting on file, as played. Ranks are the AP poll’s going in.

Games that tell the story

  1. Buffalo’s biggest win2019: Buffalo 49, Toledo 30by 19 points
  2. Toledo’s biggest win2003: Toledo 56, Buffalo 29by 27 points
  3. Upset2026: Buffalo 23, Toledo 8Buffalo had a 22% chance, by our ratings before kickoff
  4. Upset2024: Buffalo 30, Toledo 15Buffalo had a 32% chance, by our ratings before kickoff

Both programs through the years

End-of-season Elo ratings of Buffalo and Toledo, 1970 on130015001700197019801990200020102020

Our Elo rating at the end of each season, a measure of how strong a team was, not a forecast; 1500 is an average FBS team.

Stars of the series

Biggest days

Joe Licata Buffalo36 of 58, 497 yards, 4 TD2013 Passing
James Starks Buffalo34 carries, 231 yards, 3 TD2007 Rushing
Jaret Patterson Buffalo32 carries, 192 yards, 4 TD2019 Rushing
David Fluellen Toledo35 carries, 228 yards, 2 TD2012 Rushing
Stephen Williams Toledo15 catches, 172 yards, 2 TD2007 Receiving
Jerjuan Newton Toledo7 catches, 159 yards, 2 TD2024 Receiving

Biggest days: the week’s best individual games by our big-days rule, from box scores (2004 on).

Every game

Oct 10, 2026Buffalo 23, Toledo 8at Toledo
Oct 12, 2024Buffalo 30, Toledo 15at Buffalo
Oct 31, 2023Toledo 31, Buffalo 13at Toledo
Oct 22, 2022Buffalo 34, Toledo 27at Buffalo
Nov 20, 2019Buffalo 49, Toledo 30at Buffalo
Oct 20, 2018Buffalo 31, Toledo 17at Toledo
Nov 12, 2013Toledo 51, Buffalo 41at Toledo
Oct 27, 2012Toledo 25, Buffalo 20at Buffalo
Oct 13, 2007Buffalo 43, Toledo 33at Buffalo
Oct 22, 2005Toledo 38, Buffalo 15at Toledo
Nov 1, 2003Toledo 56, Buffalo 29at Toledo
Sep 19, 1970Toledo 27, Buffalo 6at Buffalo

Every game is listed as played on the field.