Nelson Smith

Expected points added: how much the player’s plays moved the team’s expected score, per play and in total. Plays: total EPA divided by EPA per play, the plays the source credits to him (for a receiver roughly his catches and runs, not every target; for a passer, not every attempt), so it can differ from attempts plus carries. Percentile: against the position’s regulars that season across all divisions on file (quarterbacks with 150+ plays, backs 60+, receivers and tight ends 30+), with how many there were (n) and their median; a dash means too few plays to rank. A season in progress uses the full-season bar scaled by games played, never below 75 plays for quarterbacks, 30 for backs and 20 for receivers. The cohort grows or shrinks with the source’s coverage each season (2025 lists far more players), so compare percentiles rather than raw EPA across years. FCS seasons are marked. Usage: the share of the team’s plays the player was part of (shown from 20 plays). From CollegeFootballData, 2013 on.

2020 Navy 10 games, 645 rushing yards, 8 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long
Sep 7	vs.BYU	L 3–⁠55	5	18	0	7
Sep 19	atTulane	W 27–⁠24	6	22	2	7
Oct 3	atAir Force	L 7–⁠40	7	25	0	10
Oct 10	vs.Temple	W 31–⁠29	20	120	2	26
Oct 17	atEast Carolina	W 27–⁠23	17	157	2	32
Oct 24	vs.Houston	L 21–⁠37	11	51	0	21
Oct 31	atSMU	L 37–⁠51	10	54	1	28
Nov 28	vs.Memphis	L 7–⁠10	29	142	1	22
Dec 5	vs.Tulsa	L 6–⁠19	12	33	0	6
Dec 12	atArmy	L 0–⁠15	11	23	0	6

2019 Navy 13 games, 566 rushing yards, 7 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long
Aug 31	vs.Holy Cross	W 45–⁠7	15	96	3	49
Sep 14	vs.East Carolina	W 42–⁠10	14	52	0	12
Sep 26	atMemphis	L 23–⁠35	8	19	0	8
Oct 5	vs.Air Force	W 34–⁠25	19	82	2	37
Oct 12	atTulsa	W 45–⁠17	18	42	1	7
Oct 19	vs.South Florida	W 35–⁠3	11	52	0	10
Oct 26	vs.Tulane	W 41–⁠38	14	76	0	35
Nov 1	atUConn	W 56–⁠10	5	86	1	77
Nov 16	atNotre Dame	L 20–⁠52	1	7	0	7
Nov 23	vs.SMU	W 35–⁠28	4	17	0	15
Nov 30	atHouston	W 56–⁠41	3	28	0	17
Dec 14	vs.Army	W 31–⁠7	2	8	0	5
Dec 31 ✦	vs.Kansas State	W 20–⁠17	1	1	0	1

2018 Navy 12 games, 411 rushing yards, 3 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long
Sep 1	atHawai’i	L 41–⁠59	10	86	0	40
Sep 8	vs.Memphis	W 22–⁠21	2	1	0	1
Sep 15	vs.Lehigh	W 51–⁠21	4	18	0	6
Sep 22	atSMU	L 30–⁠31	11	60	0	9
Oct 6	atAir Force	L 7–⁠35	5	8	0	6
Oct 13	vs.Temple	L 17–⁠24	18	108	1	45
Oct 20	vs.Houston	L 36–⁠49	7	26	0	7
Oct 27	vs.Notre Dame	L 22–⁠44	2	7	0	6
Nov 3	atCincinnati	L 0–⁠42	3	5	0	2
Nov 17	vs.Tulsa	W 37–⁠29	5	48	2	26
Nov 24	atTulane	L 28–⁠29	7	35	0	10
Dec 8	vs.Army	L 10–⁠17	4	9	0	4

2017 Navy 7 games, 17 rushing yards

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long
Sep 9	vs.Tulane	W 23–⁠21	1	1	0	1
Oct 14	atMemphis	L 27–⁠30	–	–	–	–
Oct 21	vs.UCF	L 21–⁠31	2	6	0	4
Nov 2	atTemple	L 26–⁠34	–	–	–	–
Nov 11	vs.SMU	W 43–⁠40	1	2	0	2
Nov 24	atHouston	L 14–⁠24	–	–	–	–
Dec 28 ✦	vs.Virginia	W 49–⁠7	4	8	0	3

Box scores from CollegeFootballData, 2004 on. ✦ postseason; ★ a career high on file.